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Dawg Post's Weekend Picks for UGA Football and the Rest of College Football Are In

October 19, 2023
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ATHENS - Kirby Smart and No. 1 UGA football is off this week, but it is a big weekend of college football as we stay at home. Here is what will happen this weekend for the Dawgs and all over college football... according to the Dawg Post crew.

According to FanDuel, the Georgia Bulldogs have outstanding -190 odds to make the Colleg Football Playoffs for the third consecutive season.

Penn State (+5.5) at Ohio State | FOX |12 PM 

Matt’s Pick: Game of the week. Playoff implications on the line. The Lions don’t win big games like this often, and they may fall apart again, but I’ll take them to cover. I expect them to keep it close. Penn State (+5.5).

Ryan’s Pick: I think that Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan can all eat each other alive this season. Maybe it won’t be enough to keep all three of them out of the playoff. I’ll go with Ohio State (-5.5). The Buckeyes can win this game by a touchdown. I do like Penn State a lot this season, but Ohio State is picking things up right now. I would flip this if it was in State College.

Dean’s Pick: I'm going to take the points here and Penn State (+5.5). That's a fair amount of points for two teams that are supposed to be so tight. That said, I think Ohio State wins. James Franklin isn't good in these types of matchups. But there is real pressure on both coaches in this game. I've got Ohio State winning because they are at home, and they've faced some competition. Penn State has played no one - so we really are flying blind with them. 

Tennessee (+8.5) at Alabama | CBS |3:30 PM

Matt’s Pick:  The Tide and Vawls. Always a good one. I’m expecting a low-scoring game here. First to 20 points might win this one. This just feels like too many points. Even on the road, Tenessee should make this a game. Vols (+8.5).

Ryan’s Pick: I am taking the Crimson Tide (-8.5) in Bryant-Denny Stadium. This game was so consequential for the way people viewed and ranked teams last year. Yeah, I am talking to you CFP committee. I think these teams have some similarities, and Alabama is just better. 

It seemed like there was a Super Bowl celebration in Knoxville after the Vols knocked off Alabama in a thriller. I don’t think this one will be a thriller, and I don’t think Tennessee will be celebrating. 

Dean’s Pick: I'm going to take Tennessee (+8.5) in T Town. Why? A few reasons. I feel like that extra point and a half might help me. Second, Bama is struggling to be dynamic on offense. I wonder if the Vols' defense can slow the Tide down and make this a tight fight down the stretch. Alabama is the better team... but they are not what they've been in in totality. Take the points. 



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Utah (+4.5) at USC | FOX |7:00 PM

Matt’s Pick:  Is Cam Rising still on the team? Is he a ghost? The Trojans defense stinks, and Utah has the running game going. Give me Utah (+4.5) on the road.

Ryan’s Pick: Wow, what a predicament this game is to pick. Hmm. USC (-4.5) with reluctance. 

Dean’s Pick: Utah has had its way with Southern California for some time now. This is not an ideal matchup for the Trojans - and yet they are favored at home. Utah continues to miss its best player - Cameron Rising - so I have no real knowledge of what to expect on that front. But I know this: I've watched USC a lot this season, and not only are the horrible on defense, but they got punched by a physical team Saturday night. I expect Utah (+4.5) to keep this close and very possibly win this game. 

Clemson (-3) at Miami | ACCN |7:30 PM

Matt’s Pick: Man. Am I taking another road team? This might be a disaster. Let’s go for it. Two bad teams but Miami is a trainwreck. I’ll take Clemson (-3).

Ryan’s Pick: I think that something as dumb and bizarre as what happened to Miami two weeks ago can change the course of an entire season. I am going to venture to say that is not the case here and that Miami (+3) will take care of business in Miami Gardens. 2023 Clemson is a lot closer to what Clemson really is rather than what we’ve gotten used to recently. 

Dean’s Pick: I've got the Taters (-3) in this one. Why? Miami is not good. I thought they could be OK, but North Carolina wore them out totally. The Taters might not be what they once were, and Dabs may be complaining ABOUT HIS OWN FANS, but there is still championship DNA in the program... it is fleeing and going away fast, but it is around. Miami can't be accused of that. Taters. 

Duke (+13.5) at FSU | ABC |7:30 PM

Matt’s Pick: Let’s keep it going on the road. The ‘Noles are playing great, but Duke will make them work for it. They’re a good team, and they could make this one closer than Vegas thinks. Duke (+13.5).

Ryan’s Pick: I have the Blue Devils (+13.5) for a few reasons. For starters, I don’t trust Florida State. I think their blunder is coming soon. It could be against Duke. I do think the Seminoles will win. Florida State is having a hard time closing bad teams out. If this was in Durham, I think I would take Duke to win outright. 

Dean’s Pick: The two teams that toppled the Taters, Duke and Florida State, are ready for a prime time fight on ABC. If you had this one in your pre-season ACC bingo card as an important game... 

This is why the ACC is a fun, but not serious league. Duke... I mean come one. Florida State is fresh off nearly losing at Clemson and at Boston College - not impressive. The Noles are playing better now. I have Florida State (-13.5) covering a big line over an outmatched Duke team.

Washington State (+18.5) at Oregon | ABC |3:30 PM

Matt’s Pick: Enough with the road team nonsense. I’ll take the home team with the biggest point spread. Of course State will probably prove me wrong and keep it close, but I’ll take Oregon (-18.5). 

Ryan’s Pick: Big line. I have been wrong on a lot of the bigger lines this season. I bet that is hurting my record more than the close lines. Oregon lost a heartbreaker to Washington. Lucky for the Ducks, reaching the College Football Playoff is still possible. I like Oregon (-18.5) in a bounce back. 

Dean’s Pick: Too many points. Afternoon game. Comedown game. Washington State (+18.5) and the points. 

South Carolina (+6.5) at Missouri | SECN |3:30 PM

Matt’s Pick: Missouri is a team that wants Georgia. It would be classic South Carolina to pull this one off with no one expecting too, but I’ll take the Tigers (-6.5).

Ryan’s Pick: I am rolling with Missouri (-6.5) and feeling good about it. Missouri is a good team that can score. South Carolina lost a tight one to Florida and now has to make that trip to the other Columbia. I thought Kentucky would take care of the Tigers last week, and of course, it was the other way around. 

Dean’s Pick: So this is a tricky one. South Carolina is better than their record, but they are busy breaking feet and blowing games to the Gators. And yes, Shane Beamer is both bad enough at coaching that he's blowing games his team should never lose... AND reiterating that he's a child at times by breaking his foot reacting TO SOMETHING HE COULD CONTROL. 

Missouri. Just give me Missouri (-6.5)

Ole Miss (-6.5) at Auburn | ESPN |7:00 PM

Matt’s Pick: I’m putting Ole Miss back in the fraud category this week. Auburn at night? I think I’ll take the Tigers here. Always tough to play on the road in the SEC. Auburn (+6.5).

Ryan’s Pick: I really don’t like taking big road favorites in this league, but I have Ole Miss (-6.5). Auburn is coming off of three losses in a row. What did a really good offense do to Auburn’s defense last week? Put up almost 50 points. Ole Miss is capable of that as well. Rebels win by a touchdown at least. 

Dean’s Pick: Man this is probably dumb, but give me Auburn (+6.5), the points and their inept offense. I realize Ole Miss is clearly the better team, but I don't have to justify taking nearly a touchdown at home in an SEC game. Auburn has been really, really bad on the road... at home? Not nearly as much. 

Do it. Bet this game. Bet this game because you want chaos in your life. Then get mad because these two teams are all over the place. 

Season ATS

Matt 23-33-3

Ryan 28-28-3

Dean 28-28-3



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