Dawg Post's Weekend Picks for UGA Football and the Rest of College Football Are In
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ATHENS - Kirby Smart and No. 1 UGA football are home Between the Hedges to take on the No. 10 Ole Miss Rebels this Satuday night in a huge showdown. Here is what will happen this weekend for the Dawgs and all over college football... according to the Dawg Post crew.
According to FanDuel, the Bulldogs still have outstanding +250 odds to win the national championship for the third consecutive season.
No. 2 Michigan (-4) at No. 9 Penn State | FOX |12:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: Big game, here but I’ll take Michigan on the road. Wolvrine defense could be too much for the Penn State offense. Michigan has the weapons on offense and toughness on defense to get the job done on the road. JAmes Franklin and the Nittany Lions lay another egg. Michigan (-4).
Ryan’s Pick: Finally. I am sick of not knowing what Michigan is made of. I am on the side that it is probably really good. Through its very weak schedule, the Wolverines have been dominant defensively giving up only around six points per game. I think Michigan (-4) passes its first test. I wanted to buy what James Franklin was selling at the beginning of the year, but it is too bland for me.
Dean’s Pick: I'm not sure what's going on up in the Big Ten. That place is like the bar scene from Star Wars. And half the league acts like Luke from "A New Hope" - a straight up bitch. Michigan is complaining about Purdue is complaining about Ohio State. Michigan State is a train wreck. Penn State has its own problems in terms of off-the-field issues from the past.
Meanwhile, Michigan heads to Happy Valley for its first real showdown of the year. I've got Michigan (-4) in this one as the line continues to get smaller and smaller as the week goes on. I don't think UM needs a head coach to beat James Franklin.
No. 8 Alabama (-11) at Kentucky | ESPN |12:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: This could be a game Alabama could struggle early on, against a physical Kentucky team, on the road, at noon, but they’ll figure this out in the second half. Close game for a half, but then the Tide turns it on for a late cover. Alabama (-11).
Ryan’s Pick: Could the Crimson Tide have a come down game here? Last week was a huge win for Alabama. The LSU may have put up points on the Alabama defense, but Kentucky will have a hard time with that. Give me Alabama (-11).
Dean’s Pick: I will take the Cats here. Bama is coming off one of its three emotional games of the year. This game is on the road. And if we are giving away double digits on the road - we know that's a red flag for me. That the game is at noon I don't think helps Alabama. I will take the Cats (+11), but Bama wins.
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20-Year Warranty | Made in Georgia
Miami (+14) at No. 4 FSU | ABC |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Lot of points for a rivalry game. This could be a game FSU drops completely, even at home. I expect the ‘Canes to come out and put up a fight. They’ve got some talent too. I’ll take Miami (+14).
Ryan’s Pick: I have talked a big game about Florida State possibly being a fraud. That might still be true. I do like the Seminoles (-14) at home, however. Miami just lost to NC State by 14 on the road...
Dean’s Pick: Miami and Florida State used to be a game that mattered. That was a last century. These two teams met 14 times from 1987 (100% classic) to 2004 with both teams ranked in the top ten. They managed to win seven national titles in that time. Since then? One national title combined, two programs burned to the ground at least once each, multiple failed head coaches and one matchup between top-ten teams.
This game is Nebraska-Colorado - something that is frozen in time. Unlike those two schools, there is no excuse for the Noles and the Canes. All that said, I'll take Miami (+14) on the road. Florida State tends to not play complete games - not that Miami does - but at least we get two touchdowns with the Canes.
No. 13 Utah (+9.5) at No. 5 Washington | FOX |3:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: I think Utah’s peaked. I’d be surprised if they could keep up with this Washington offense for four quarters. Huskies roll to an impressive win over a quality opponent. Washington (-9.5).
Ryan’s Pick: Ryan has selected Washington (+-9.5) to cover. He has also failed to write why, and will be docked the appropriate amount of pay as a result.
UPDATE: This is what Ryan sent in: Washington erupted for 52 points after having a shaky couple of weeks. I’m thinking that this could be similar to the Oregon game for Utah, and if that’s the case, then I definitely have the Huskies covering this line.
Prolly still dock him pay for the hassle.
Dean’s Pick: I love Utah, but I'm just not sure they can run around with UW on the road with the way the Huskies can score. Give me Washington (-9.5) at home to cover the line.
No. 14 Tennessee (-2) at No. 16 Missouri | CBS |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: This one is tough. The Vols are playing well and the Tigers are a tough team. Even on the road, I think the Vols find a way to pull this one off. Lot of points in this one, but I think Missouri’s loss to Georgia carries over to this one. I’ll take Tennessee (-2).
Ryan’s Pick: Tennesee is favored? Give me Missouri (+2) out in the middle of nowhere. Missouri did not make it easy for Georgia at all. Tennessee is finding a little bit of a rythm. I think this could be a great game.
Dean’s Pick: I'm very curious to see what happens in this game. Both teams can still win the SEC, but the loser of the game (particularly if it is UT) is out. Should Missouri win the game, UGA would win the SEC East for the last time ever before taking the field against the Rebels. I'm going to pick that to happen - Missouri (-2) - but I really don't know what is going to be the result in this game. That the game is in Middle Earth is why I am going to take the Tigers. I would have no hesitation about taking the Vols back in the real world.
Florida (+14) at No. 18 LSU | SECN |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Flordia’s a BAD team. No toughness. No fight. LSU has a chance to embarrass them at home. At Night. In Death Valley. Don’t be surprised if LSU hangs 50 on them. Give me LSU (-14).
Ryan’s Pick: I think Jayden Daniels is going to suit up. LSU can score score score. It is gonna score score score all over Florida. LSU is not who I thought it was, but I’m geauxing with the Tigers (-14). Yeah, I did.
Dean’s Pick: The Gators have fallen apart. That's all I have to say. Give me LSU (-14) and that big number at home.
Michigan State (+31.5) at No. 3 Ohio State | NBC |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: A really bad team and a really good team. The Buckeys are solid and their defense looks legitimate. Still, that’s a lot of points. IF they can hand with Ohio State for at least a quarter or two they should be able to cover. I’ll take Michigan State (+31.5).
Ryan’s Pick: This line is just too big for Ohio State to handle. Michigan State is pretty bad. I just don’t really trust Ohio State to score what it needs to cover this. I’ll go with Michigan State (+31.5).
Dean’s Pick: I'm just - that's a lot of points for this Ohio State team. Last year’s Ohio State? Sure. I know Michigan State (+31.5), like nearly everything Big Ten that is not the Iowa WBB team is in free fall, but still. 31 points? I can't do it.
No. 10 Ole Miss (+10.5) vs. No. 1 Georgia | ESPN |7:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: The more I dig into this one, the more I like Georgia to cover. I think Georgia could get to the 40-point mark, and I don’t see Ole Miss getting to the 30+ point mark. This should be a wild environment, and I expect the Sanford Stadium crowd to make a big impact. The Rebels are 97th in the country on 3rd down, completing just 36% (41/113). They’re also ranked 113th in the country in penalites, committing 66 of them so far this season. Not a great statictic going into Athens this weekend. I’ll take Georgia (-10.5).
Ryan’s Pick: Ole Miss is a good football team. It is probably in a similar class as Missouri. Georgia is going to have to play really well to cover this line. Then again, I thought the Dawgs played its third or fourht best game against Missouri and won by nine. I am looking forward to what I hope is an absolutely elite college football environment. Unfortunetely for Ole Miss, that will be hostile, and it is my tipping point with Georgia covering the spread in addition to winning. I have Georgia (-10.5).
Dean’s Pick: This line has already started ticking up in the last 24 hours with the rumblings that Brock Bowers would play on Saturday. Dawg Post send a message to subscribers about that news on its premium message board The Porch on Thursday - you can read more about Bowers there.
With or without Bowers, however, I've got the Dawgs (-10.5). I just think they are a noticeably better team than Ole Miss. I think the only way Georgia outright loses this game is with multiple turnovers. That said, Ole Miss is quite bad on the road this season. Going to Athens at night isn't a great way to remedy that. Let the Big Dawg eat.
Season ATS
Matt 33-46-4
Ryan 40-39-4
Dean 39-40-4
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