Dawg Post's Weekend Picks for UGA Football and the Rest of College Football Are In
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ATHENS - Kirby Smart and No. 1 UGA football comes back home Between the Hedges to take on the No. 14 Missouri in a huge showdown. Here is what will happen this weekend for the Dawgs and all over college football... according to the Dawg Post crew.
According to FanDuel, the Bulldogs still have outstanding +250 odds to win the national championship for the third consecutive season.
No. 15 Notre Dame (-3) at Clemson | ABC |12:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: I said last week I just can’t pick Clemson this week. No matter who they were playing, pick against them. Turns out it’s Notre Dame. Give me the Irish -3, here. Easy. Dabo and the Tigers are falling apart.
Ryan’s Pick: It is not good when the headline all week is not really about football. It was about Dabo, and it was not good. I actually think that most of what he said was justified. It is just not a good look. This season has not been a good look for Clemson. I’ll take Notre Dame (-3) with ease.
Dean’s Pick: Lordy, lordy - Dabo is triggered again.
"But could this all work in Dabo's favor?" - someone with a deep southern accent says.
No, deep southern accent guy, not unless his quarterback plays a whole hell of a lot better (I feel like I'm being judged for using the word "hell" while talking about Dabo and Notre Dame). And not unless the Taters just plain play better. For as good a coach as Dabo was for such a long time I can assure you that his team is not being coached well right now. You don't wind up 4-4 by accident. You picked this... a long time ago. 4-4 isn't about a few plays here and there - it is about a lot of plays, and there are a lot of plays left to be had. 4-8 is unlikley - hard to imagine - but it isn’t out of the question considering Clemson ends with Notre Dame, wackjob Georgia Tech, North Carolina and South Carolina... oh, and the fact that Clemson’s offense is impotent.
Give me the Irish (-3) to give the Taters their first losing record this deep in a football season since 2010. Tater calls prolly going to be rough again this week, too. Don’t worry, Dabs has enough indignation to get through it.
No. 9 Oklahoma (-5.5) at No. 22 Oklahoma State | ABC |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Here we go. What an awesome game. I’m just rooting for madness here. The Cowboys get the Sooners at home and the place will be rocking. The Sooners might edge this one out in the end, but I’m expecting another wild game between these two. I’ll take Oklahoma State +5.5.
Ryan’s Pick: Points points points. That is what this game is usally about. The Sooners are usually the ones that score more too. I think that will happen on Saturday. Oklahoma is not a strong top-10 team, but Oklahoma State is not great. I am not sure it is that good either. Sooners (-5.5).
Dean’s Pick: This one is going to be fun. Usually this one is fun, and then Oklahoma wins. Will that be the case this year? I'm not sure. I know this - Oklahoma is sloppy. They nearly took a loss to 2017 National Champs UCF; and then they finished themselves off by losing to Kansas. Imagine playing UCF, Kansas and then Oklahoma State in football in three straight weeks. I've been to Oklahoma. If you've never been there let me tell you something about it.
You aren't missing much. If you never get there your entire life you will be just fine. Give me the Sooners (-5.5) because I am boring.
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No. 5 Washington (-3) at No. 20 USC | ABC |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Washington needs to step it up. If they’re a legitimate playoff contender, they’ll go down and put 60 points up on the Trojans. High-scoring game, but the Huskies are the better team. Washington -3.
Ryan’s Pick: This game looked like it might be this real fight for power in the PAC-12 and for the Heisman trophy. It is not quite that now with both teams struggling recently. I am starting to sleep on the Huskies a little. Washington needs to play better. The playoff is on the line. Caleb Williams can only do so much. Give me Washington (-3). I really like Michael Penix Jr. His arm is so talented. He has a chance to make a Heisman statement here. I am going to make this statement twice more in this story.
Dean’s Pick: UW needs to play better - period. They could lose this game straight up... that would not surprise me at all. I don't trust Washington right now. I am going to take USC (+3) in a straight up upset here at the Colosseum.
No. 14 LSU (+3) at No. 8 Alabama | CBS |7:45 PM
Matt’s Pick: I don’t think Alabama’s dead at all. Their championship dreams are dead if they lose another game. The Tigers are playing better, but this is a “prove it” game for Alabama. Take care of business against a quality LSU team, and they’re still in the mix for the playoffs. I think Alabama Rolls at home. Tide -3.
Ryan’s Pick: I am going to stick to my preseason guns. I had LSU winning the west. That can still happen, even if it is not as pretty as I (and many others) thought it would be. The Tigers have the best offense in the country. I know Alabama has a really good defense. I know this is in Tuscaloosa. I know this is a revenge game. I don’t care. Give me LSU (+3). Jayden Daniels has a huge Heisman opportunity here.
Dean’s Pick: I think Alabama is going to win this game because I think they will grind LSU down. I'm going to take Bama (-3) because we know what we are going to get from them, they have the better coach and they are playing at home. LSU is far more explosive and sexy. That didn't do much for them abasing the Noles or Rebels. Bama scores enough to win and cover.
No. 19 UCLA (-3) at Arizona | FS1 |10:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: UCLA (-3).
Ryan’s Pick: Arizona has given better teams fits this season. I am not saying it will be pretty, but I am saying UCLA (-3).
Dean’s Pick: I put these games on here, and the only reason this game is on here is because of how late it kicks. I have no clue who wins this game. But we have rules about Arizona schools - they are not to be trusted. But should we ever trust UCLA? In this case we will go with the Bruins (-3).
No. 23 Kansas State (+4) at No. 7 Texas | FOX |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: I think Texas is in a similar position to Alabama. They lose another game and that might be it. They’re still a very good team and they need another statement win. At home, against a quality Kansas State team. They need to come out ready to play. Classic Texas would lose this game, but this team still feels different. Texas -4.
Ryan’s Pick: No Quinn Ewers, no problem. This line is smaller than it should be. I am not saying I trust Texas. Definitely not on my trust list. I think Texas has one of the easiest paths left to the playoff, if not the easiest. I am going to go with Texas (-4).
Dean’s Pick: How about Texas only being a four-point favorite at home over K State? I know this is about a missing quarterback, but still. What if the Horns lose this game? The Big 12 will be near full-on Dabo meltdown. And no one is trying to relive that. Give me the road dog here... Kansas State (+4).
Texas A&M (+3) at No. 10 Ole Miss | ESPN |12:00 PM
Matt’s Pick: I’ve gone back and forth on this one. The Aggies are very strong defensively, especially on the line, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them give Ole Miss some real trouble. I think this one comes down to the wire, but the Rebels are playing well and they’re playing in Oxford. I’ll take the Rebels -3.
Ryan’s Pick: I think Ole Miss (-3) will take care of business to setup a top-10 matchup in Athens next week. The line is small- smaller than you would think.
Dean’s Pick: Ole Miss only has to beat A&M by more than a field goal to cover the line? Is Max Johnson that good? Yikes. I really thought this would be higher than that; than again A&M thought their win total this year (and nearly all of the Jimbo years) would be higher, too. It is what it is. If Ole Miss struggles with A&M that's a really, really bad sign for next week. I will take the Rebels (-3).
No. 14 Missouri (+15.5) vs. No. 1 Georgia | CBS |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: I like Georgia here for a lot of reasons. They’ve played their best football in the last three games, they’re healthy, they’re killing teams on 3rd down, the pass-rush is improving, and they’re playing in Athens, Georgia. Missouri can score, and they’ve got weapons all over this place, but Sanford Stadium is going to make an impact. They’re going to move backwards from time to time.
If you don’t bring your “A” game to Athens, you might get embarrassed. Georgia’s playing well in all three phases right now, and I think they’ll cruise to a 35-17 type of win. Georgia -15.5.
Ryan’s Pick: This line opened up at around 20 points just after Georgia finished beating down the Gators. I would have been pretty hesitant to jump at a line that big. I think Georgia gets to the 40s in this game, and usually that means it is winning big. Georgia’s October was much better than its September. Part of that us because of the cupcakes at the beginning of the season. Georgia (-15.5) kicks off November the right way.
Dean’s Pick: You see that number? Georgia -15.5. That... that right there is respect. Look at Texas at home playing No. 23 K State. They are a four-point favorite at home. Four. No. 8 Bama is only a field goal favorite over LSU. Georgia? The Dawgs are considered more than two touchdowns better than Missouri.
I will take the free points here - Missouri (+15.5). I will warn you that this is a bit of a trick game. The last time Georgia played Missouri in Athens the game was a blowout, but it took a lot of time for the Dawgs to get going.
I'm not sure what to expect in terms of how one-sided this game is going to be, but I do expect Georgia to win. Missouri has some playmakers on offense, and this is probably the second-best overall defense UGA has faced this season.
I think Georgia wins. But I will take the letdown points. 15.5 is a lot of points. Is 37-22 close? You wouldn't cover on that one. You've been warned.
Season ATS
Matt 30-42-3
Ryan 39-33-3
Dean 36-36-3
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