Dawg Post's Weekend Picks for UGA Football and the Rest of College Football Are In
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ATHENS - Kirby Smart and No. 1 UGA football travels to Auburn on Saturday for a national game on CBS. Here is what will happen this weekend for the Dawgs and all over college football... according to the Dawg Post crew.
According to FanDuel, the Bulldogs still have outstanding +200 odds to win the national championship for the third consecutive season.
Utah (-3.5) at Oregon State | FS1 |9 PM, Friday
Matt’s Pick: Big friday night matchup. I think Cam Rising will go in this game, and that’s big for Utah. They’re playing outstanding defense right now that will give the Beeavers some real trouble. I like this Utah squad. I’ll take the Utes (-3.5).
Ryan’s Pick: Dean and I will probably be in some hotel somewhere eating a random fast food dessert locked into some Friday night PAC-12 disasterclass. I think Oregon State (+3.5) wins at home in what will serve as both a bounce back game and an upset.
Dean’s Pick: This Friday has some great games. Louisville-NC State kicks at 7 on ESPN. Cincinnati-BYU follows that game on the worldwide leader. But it is Utah's game at Oregon State that's got my attention on Friday night. The line has been moving towards the Utes all week, and I am riding that wave myself. We are going to get off on the right foot - give me Utah (-3.5) to get the weekend going.
The Gators (+1) at Kentucky | ESPN |12 PM
Matt’s Pick: I was leaning Kentucky all week, but I’m switching it up. Give me Florida (+1). The ‘Cats haven’t really been tested this year and Florida’s defense will show up. I think they go on the road and pull out a tough victory.
Ryan’s Pick: At the end of the day, I don’t think either of these teams are that good. Florida is in the top 25 right now because of its win over Tennessee (who is also overrated). Devin Leary has had two good games and two not so good games, so the jury is out on him, and I think that last week’s game against Vanderbilt made me feel worse about the Kentucky. The offense does not look crisp at all.
That being said, Florida relies too heavily on the running game and Kentucky has been solid against the run this year. I’ll take the Wildcats (-1) at home to setup a ranked primetime matchup in Sanford Stadium next week.
Dean’s Pick: This game is a virtual coin flip. Kentucky has proven of late that they can finish Florida off and actually win. I think the Cats win this games straight up, so I will take UK (-1) in the game. Of note: Kentucky has never been favored in football over the Gators.
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LSU (-2.5) at Ole Miss | ESPN |6 PM
Matt’s Pick: LSU is playing better and better. Ole Miss got exposed a little against Alabama. The’ye on my fraud list. I’ll take the Tigers (-2.5).
Ryan’s Pick: The more we do this, the more I realize that I don’t trust anybody. I can’t believe I am doing this, but I’m going with Ole Miss (+2.5) in Oxford. LSU has just been disappointing. I think the Tigers are better, but fall in a close one.
Dean’s Pick: This game is a mess. All-out mess. LSU is all over the place. Ole Miss is seemingly a bunch of talk. It is hard to think that LSU, a team with plenty of talent, is not even a FG favorite in this game. But twice this season LSU has played legit games, and twice this season they've either lost or barely won. I don't like it. I like Ole Miss less. Give me the Tigers (-2.5) on the road.
Notre Dame (-5.5) at Duke | ABC |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: I’ve been riding the Duke train all season, but I’m getting off the train this weekend. The Irish did lose to the Buckeyes in heart-breaking fashion, but they showed they are a tough, physical team. They’ll be fine, and they’ll win this game on the road. Give me Notre Dame (-5.5).
Ryan’s Pick: College Gameday is headed to Durham for football. How about that? Last week was a heartbreaking loss for Notre Dame. Duke has been a fun team, and I think the Blue Devils will put up a fight, but give me the Irish (-5.5). I don’t think it will be a blowout. Duke is no scrub, but Notre Dame will take care of business.
Dean’s Pick: Very fun game here. How is Notre Dame going to react to a very difficult loss? Is this thing ever going to go the right way for the Irish when it comes to big games? I really doesn't feel like it. The good news is this doesn't feel like a big game. The last time Duke hosted a primetime game on a network was never. Duke has played on ABC four times since 1997 (Alabama, 2019; Pinstripe Bowl, 2015; ACCCG, 2013; Alabama, 2010).
Notre Dame has its own network TV contract. They just hosted a primetime network game. This won't be a big deal for them. I will take the Irish (-5.5) because even though it might take a second or two, and even though Duke is a threat to actually win the ACC, Notre Dame is better.
Southern Cootlumbia (+12) at Tennessee | SECN |7:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Too many points here. Carolina can play and they’ve got excellent play so far this season from Spencer Rattler. The Vols have clearly taken a step back. This might come down to the very end. I’ll take Carolina (+12).
Ryan’s Pick: Spencer Rattler has had a hell of a last couple of games. Is he the best quarterback in the SEC? This one is weird. I could see Tennessee having an offensive explosion, but they just haven’t looked that good. I’ll take South Carolina (+12).
Dean’s Pick: South Carolina has played well, generally speaking, this fall, but they've lost twice. Still, the Cocks are 3-1 ATS this season. The Vols have not played well this season. They've been jumpy in the first half - far more than Georgia has - and they ate a horrible road loss to the Gators. I am really conflicted on this one. I think the Cocks (+12) are playing well enough to earn us some money.
Nevada (+24.5) at Fresno | FS1 |10:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: I’m not betting against Fresno. They’ve crushed it every time I put the game on. They are 100% a top 25 team and will destroy a bad Nevada team. Bulldogs (+24.5).
Ryan’s Pick: Yeah it’s real simple for me. We watched the Fresno State Bulldogs put up 53 points late at night. Make it two in-a-row for them. Fresno State (-24.5).
Dean’s Pick: If you don't know about Fresno then you aren't watching late-night games, and considering me judging you right now. The Bulldogs have beaten Purdue and Arizona State. They throttled Kent State last weekend. Now Fresno is hosting Nevada... I like Fresno (-24.5) big.
Kansas (+17) at Texas | ABC |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Lot of points here, but I think Texas makees a statement at home. The Jayhawks can run the ball, and they’re weell-coached, but they haven’t really been tested this year. A blowout would’t surprise me. I’ll take Texas (-17).
Ryan’s Pick: Texas has yet to have a super impressive offensive game. I was suprised to see that the Longhorns haven’t broken 40 points yet. That is a lofty point spread, but I am gonna go with Texas (-17). I am not sure why Kansas is ranked. The Jayhawks have not played any team within that same realm of Texas.
Dean’s Pick: So Texas played well last week, but I'm not sure I trust them a as the Horns have been up and down more than I would like. That's a lot of points... Give me the undefeated Jayhawks (+17)
Georgia (-15.5) at Auburn | CBS |3:30 PM
Matt’s Pick: Taking Georgia here. Auburn will be lucky to get to 10 points. I’d be surprised if Georgia doesn’t get to 30. Georgia needs to get off to a strong start, and if they do, they should be able to cover. Georgia’s clearly the better team and should be able to handle an Auburn team that could barely beat Cal pretty comfortably. Georgia (-15.5).
Ryan’s Pick: The last pick every week and the pick I despise taking the most. I am consistent in taking Georgia to cover the spread. They have let me down in terms of that this season. That is not how I am going to base my feelings about the team.
These are week-by-week and game-by-game picks. I think Georgia is significantly better than Auburn. Jordan-Hare provides a tough environment. I’m feeling a 31-10 type of score in this game. I think Georgia (-15.5) looks strong on the road, with possibly a couple of key players back in the fold.
Dean’s Pick: I'm going to stick to me principles here, and take the slightly more than two-touchdown home underdog in SEC play - that’s Auburn (+15.5). The curious thing about this game is that this line has really jumped around a lot. I've seen it as high as UGA -18.5; as of Wednesday the line was anywhere from -14.5 to -15.5. That's not an insignificant movement.
Part of what I am thinking here is that Georgia is going on the road for the first time. Las Vegas sees this game at something like 31-15 in favor of Georgia. That's a pretty wide beating, so that's another reason I am going to take the points.
There are two other things here: Georgia hasn't covered a line this season; Georgia is 9-1 ATS vs. Auburn - only failing to cover in the game at Auburn in 2017. Good luck figuring that out.
Season ATS
Matt 17-16-2
Ryan 17-16-2
Dean 16-17-2
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