THE PICKS ARE IN: Dawg Post Gives You Our Picks for This Weekend in College Football
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ATHENS - Kirby Smart and the Georgia Bulldogs are getting ready to take on State, but we give you all the picks for this weekend around the country.
Matt’s Picks:
I wrote more about this in Final Feelings but I think Georgia covers the -16 on the road. This one might close for a quarter, maybe two, but Georgia’s going to roll away with a comfortable win in Starkville.
The smart part of my brain thinks Alabama will bounce back after their second loss of the season. The other part of my brain thinks they barely escape Oxford with a win. I’m taking that side. Give me the Rebels at home +12. Lots of scoring in this one.
LSU’s playing well and starting to click. Arkansas? Not so much. Tigers cover the -3.5 on the road in an important game.
This is the week TCU goes down. Texas is back again I guess. Longhorns end the Cinderella story and cover the -7.
The Ducks are ROLLING. Washington is not playing good football of late. I’ll take Oregon -13.5 at home.
Expecting a messy, ugly game in Gainesville. Two inconsistent teams. I think the Gamecocks have another solid game in them. They’ll lose, but I think the Gamecocks cover the +8.
Texas and Auburn. Yikes. Give me a big Auburn win at home for Cadillac Williams. Tigers -1.5.
Ohio State are 40-point favorites over Indiana? The Hoosiers stink but that’s too many points. Hoosiers +40.
Tennessee needs an impressive win over Missouri to win over the committe and stay in the playoff pitcure. I’m not sure it happens. Give me Missouri +20.5.
Clemson is coming off a BAD loss on the road at Notre Dame. I think it stays with them against Louisville. They’ll win, but they win it late and cover. Tigers -7 at home.
Maryland just lost an ugly one against Wisconsin. They won’t play any better at Penn State. Nittany Lions -10.
I’m taking the Fighting Irish to cover the +15.5 over Navy.
Kentucky -18 against Vanderbilt. Needs to start playing their best ball if they want to take down the Bulldogs.
Dawg Post guy MJ Morris will lead NC State to an impressive win. Wolfpack-19.
Still not sold on Michigan, but I think they’ll pile it on late at home against Nebraska. Wolverines +31.
I’l rising the Green Wave. Suck it, UCF. Tulans rolls and covers the -1.5.
I still like Kansas State. Tough loss to the Longhorns but they’ll rebound. Wildcats cover the +2.5 against Baylor.
Drake May can sling it. He’s a good quarterback. I feel like North Carolina’s getting disrespected here. Tar Heels +3.5.
Syracuse has lost three games in a row and the ‘Noles finally don’t look embarrassing anymore. Florida State -7.
I’ll take Utah -24 at home against a BAD Stanford team.
Still like UCLA. Have all year. Bruins -20 at home against Arizona.
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Sunday, November 20, 2022 || @ Red Zone in Athens
Ryan’s Picks:
We have Friday night lights in Los Angeles. I will take USC -34 at home against Colorado. The Buffalos are just not good and the Trojans still have a path to the CFP. If USC sneaks their way into the playoff then I think they would get bounced pretty easily in the first round. Their defense is bad.
My Lock of the Week: LSU -3.5 at Arkansas seems a little too good to be true. The Razorbacks are at home, but I have been disappointed with them this season. LSU has all of the momentum and Jayden Daniels is a gamer.
The line is pretty big, but I will take Tennessee -20.5 at home against Missouri. The Vols are a week away from being destroyed in Athens. Hendon Hooker and that offense are too good. I wonder if the Neyland Stadium crowd will be as loud as it usually is.
Kentucky -18 at home against Vanderbilt. The Wildcats snag an easy win in Lexington a week before the Dawgs come to town.
Illinois -6 at home against Purdue. That defense is stifling. I have no idea what the Illinois' home crowd is like, but I am sure it is better right now than it usually is.
40 points? Wow. I feel a little dumb, but I am taking it. Give me the Buckeyes -40 at home against Indiana. They just played their worst game of the season. I don’t think that happens two weeks in-a-row. I love that Marvin Harrison Jr. kid. He is the best wide receiver in college football.
I will take Penn State -10 at home against Maryland. Penn State is a good football team. Not bad, not great.
I don’t trust this Alabama team. This is the worst Alabama team since 2010. Wow. Ole Miss is at home. Lane Kiffin is having a lot of fun on Twitter. Ole Miss +11 is my pick.
Clemson sucks, but I will take them -7 at home against Louisville. I am a big Cade Klubnik guy. DJU is not it.
Michigan is a really good team and they have some of the best odds to be in the playoff, but 31 points is too much for me. This is not a team that scores in a hurry. Give me Nebraska +31.
I really want to take South Carolina and the points, but in the Swamp, I will go with Florida -8. I think Anthony Richardson needs to stay in college another year. The draft hype is total crap.
Georgia will cover the 16 points easily. Very deep explanation in Final Feelings.
The Ducks have been killing it since they got killed in Atlanta. Bo Nix has inserted himself into the Hesiman conversation. Oregon should beat Washington in Eugene by at least two touchdowns. I will take the -13.5.
TCU is ranked higher and are the only Big 12 team at this point that has a shot to make the playoff. I think that shot disappears on Saturday night. The Longhorns are probably a better team. This game is in Austin, and Quinn Ewers is the real deal. Give me Texas -7.
North Carolina +3.5 at Wake Forest. Drake Maye can ball. His numbers are crazy. He would be the Heisman front runner if UNC was better.
Texas A&M and Auburn are such disasters right now. I think you would have to pay me to watch this on Saturday. Auburn -1.5 at home, but I am not confident in either team.
Utah -24 in Salt Lake City over Stanford. Utah was supposed to be the best team in the PAC-12. I thought they would win the league. Either way, they are much better than Stanford.
UCLA has looked pretty solid outside of their loss to Oregon. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has enough magic to will them pas the -19.5 at home against Arizona after dark.
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Dean’s Picks:
As I wrote in Final Feelings, I’ve got the Dawgs to cover the 16.5-point line on the road at State. That’s a lot - double digits is a lot to give away on the road.
We’ve got a lot of tun Friday night - Colorado travels to LA to take on USC. Yikes. That’s a lot of points. But a Friday night game at home (which is the critical part) is the point here for SC. The Trojans are a play away from being undefeated. Them getting to the playoffs isn’t out of the question at all. Take the Trojans (-34) to cover.
Another bad matchup - this time Indiana travels to Ohio State, which needs a dome because of the way they play, and where they play. I don’t trust it. Give me the Hoosiers (+40).
Missouri and Tennessee both try to pick up the pieces after difficult losses on Saturday. Tennessee fans will have to sit and watch and try to push their way into the playoff. I’ll take the Tigers (+20.5) in a sleepy noon game on CBS after a tough road loss for the Vols.
LSU and Arkansas has been a nutball series for a while. It is hard to think that LSU would only be a three-point favorite against a 5-4 Arkansas team that’s not been very impressive of late. I will grab the Tigers (-3) on the road. Things are too important for Brian Kelly and company.
Notre Dame and Navy will play in Baltimore in a longtime rivalry that just no one cares about. The game is at noon on ABC. Give me the Irish (-16.5) on the road.
Purdue travels to Illinois in a game few folks will watch at noon on ESPN2. You don’t care about this game; I know I don’t. I’ll take Purdue (+6.5).
Vandy at Kentucky at Noon on SECN will get lost in the shuffle of all of these early ranked games. Kentucky gets back-to-back homes games. I will take Kentucky (+18) to cover. Vandy is pretty bad.
Speaking of bad, Nebraska will get killed at 3:30 in Ann Arbor. Give me Michigan (-29.5).
The game of the day is likely Bama at Ole Miss. The Tide are a 12-point favorite on the road. That’s a little rich for me. Give me the Confederates (+12).
Louisville, which is playing pretty lately, travels to Clemson. Dabs and company are wobbling right now. I don’t like the way things are going there right now. Give me Louisville (+7).
Maryland goes to Penn State this weekend. BUT IS IT A WHITE OUT? WHAT ABOUT THE WHITE OUT? Don’t care. 3:30 on FOX - Take the Turtles (+10).
Boston College, which has two total wins, is a 19-point dog at NC State. BC is trash - take the Wolfpack (-19).
UCF is at Tulane. Head to The Boot on Friday - go to the game on Saturday. This game is for a New Year’s Six bowl game, and it is tight. I will grab Tulane (-2).
Washington-Oregon is one of the great not-well-known rivalries in this sport. The Ducks are nearly a two-touchdown favorite. Both of these teams are pretty good, but Oregon is a lot to handle. I will take the Ducks (-13.5) to cover.
Kansas State heads to Waco as a ranked underdog. I’ll take the Bears (+2.5).
TCU heads to Austin to keep it weird and undefeated. The Horns are a touchdown favorite. At some point you play too many close games. I will take Texas to win, but that’s too many points. Give me TCU (+7) and the points.
North Carolina can still slip into the CFP (they won’t). And I will tell you that this game is likely to be the most entertaining of the day. This is a strange rivalry on Tobacco Road. I think Carolina wins a shootout. The Heels are an underdog. Take UNC (+3.5).
Florida State is trying to get it rolling, but this is a very challenging game for the Noles. I don’t trust Syracuse. They had Clemson beat, and have lost every game since. Take the Noles (-6.5).
Pac 12 Nightlife!
Stanford, which is not Samford, has one conference win and is headed to one of the toughest places to play in the Pac 12. Utah is a massive favorite, and they are that way for a reason. Take Utah (-24) to cover.
Meanwhile in Los Angeles, Arizona, which also only has one conference win, travels to the Rose Bowl to fight the Burins. This game is on big FOX. Yikes. I’m not sure about this broadcasting strategy. UCLA (-19.5) covers.