Georgia Tech is an 18-point underdog vs. UGA this Saturday

3,743 Views | 4 Replies | Last: 6 yr ago by cincydawg
dawgpostsucks
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DavidF89
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Wait, this article is from September 18th about the GT/Clemson game.
Haney
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I don't know how Vegas works, but I don't understand the line being this high. BUT, between the line being this high and Bark Madley's article today about the game (I think that is what the Techies call him), I feel a little better.

The reason I don't like this line is because of that offense they run and the fact that it sucks so much time off the clock. This line is 17.5 right now with over/under at 59.5 so that is saying that if we cover, we win something along the line of 42-18 type score. That is us scoring 6 TD's and them scoring 3. I am not sure I see our defense holding them to 3 TD's, we gave up 27 points to UMass, granted that was mostly passing, but still our defense has me a bit concerned-and our offense the last two times we have played them, have turned the ball over when we could have put the game away. Tech has thrived on causing TO's this year.
dawgpostsucks
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Vegas is just trying to even the betting on each side.

Given that Georgia Tech is on a 4-game winning streak, ranks #1 in the country in rushing (avg. 353.7 ypg), and #5 in time of possession (avg. 34 minutes and 12 seconds per game), UGA's rushing defense (sans DE David Marshall and ILB Monty Rice) will need to bring their "A" game while the Dawgs' offense/special teams need to be efficient/explosive to cover the 18-point line. Btw, UGA hasn't beaten Georgia Tech in Athens since 2012.
Haney
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I get that AFD, but that still seems high, and I have seen it at 18, 17 and now 17.5, it is not dropping like I thought it would-but I am no betting expert. I would just think if folks were betting heavy on Tech, Vegas would start dropping the line to try to get more action on UGA??

I am very concerned about our D trying to stop the GT offense-but, I do think we have two safeties that tackle well, and also believe Natrez Patrick always plays well in this game. We will need Jordan Davis/Wyatt to control the middle to stop the dive, and then need DWalker to dominate like he did last year-if we create turnovers, we will cover the spread, if we don't, it is going to be a tight game. Rain is in the forecast at least for Sat morning, so how will that factor in. They have won the last two in Athens but both are games I feel like we gave away. It usually takes us messing up/making mistakes for them to beat us.
cincydawg
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Yup, the odds merely reflect the opinion of the betting public (times how much money each bets).

This game COULD be a blowout, as we all hope it is, with Fromm and Fields both on the bench in the fourth quarter. If the Dawgs make critical errors, it won't be, and could be a loss, like the last two times Tech won in Athens, mistakes were key.

If the turnover battle is 1-1 or so, UGA should win and score a lot of points. Tech won't have much luck stopping this offense UNLESS the offense turns the ball over. The Dawgs could easily put up 45.

Tech will likely score around 20. The loss of Rice is concerning.
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